LivaNova PLC logo LIVN - LivaNova PLC

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $84.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $76.00
MEDIAN: $83.00
CONSENSUS: $84.83
UPSIDE: 6.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 30.6% above fair value
Current Price $79.84
Bear Case $48.66 39.1% downside ($48.66 - $79.84) / $79.84 = -39.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $61.12 23.4% downside ($61.12 - $79.84) / $79.84 = -23.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $72.81 8.8% downside ($72.81 - $79.84) / $79.84 = -8.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 28.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.9% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $84.83 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $61.12 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $84.83 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions