LivaNova PLC logo LIVN - LivaNova PLC

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $79.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $66.00
MEDIAN: $80.50
CONSENSUS: $79.25
UPSIDE: 7.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 26.4% above fair value
Current Price $73.83
Bear Case $46.51 37.0% downside ($46.51 - $73.83) / $73.83 = -37.0% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $58.43 20.9% downside ($58.43 - $73.83) / $73.83 = -20.9% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $69.60 5.7% downside ($69.60 - $73.83) / $73.83 = -5.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 26.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $79.25 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $58.43 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $79.25 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions