LivaNova PLC logo LIVN - LivaNova PLC

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $93.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $105.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $92.50
CONSENSUS: $93.33
UPSIDE: 18.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.7% above fair value
Current Price $78.44
Bear Case $52.88 32.6% downside ($52.88 - $78.44) / $78.44 = -32.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $66.63 15.1% downside ($66.63 - $78.44) / $78.44 = -15.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $79.52 1.4% upside ($79.52 - $78.44) / $78.44 = 1.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 22.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.5% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $66.63 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $93.33
Analyst Range $85.00 – $105.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 29%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $93.33 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 29% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions