LivaNova PLC logo LIVN - LivaNova PLC

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 3
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $88.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $76.00
MEDIAN: $91.00
CONSENSUS: $88.50
UPSIDE: 8.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 22.9% above fair value
Current Price $81.92
Bear Case $52.88 35.4% downside ($52.88 - $81.92) / $81.92 = -35.4% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $66.63 18.7% downside ($66.63 - $81.92) / $81.92 = -18.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $79.52 2.9% downside ($79.52 - $81.92) / $81.92 = -2.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 23.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.1% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $66.63 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $88.50
Analyst Range $76.00 – $95.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 25%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions