LINC - Lincoln Educational Services Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$55.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$60.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$55.00
UPSIDE:
125.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
20.5x
0.65$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
37.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.65, the base-case value is $13.30 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$55.00
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
76%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $55.00 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 76% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples