LIN - Linde plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$557.10
DETAILS
HIGH:
$580.00
LOW:
$525.00
MEDIAN:
$558.00
CONSENSUS:
$557.10
UPSIDE:
15.17%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
9.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
39.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
18.1%
vs our 9.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $235.84 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$557.10
Analyst Range
$525.00 – $580.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
58%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $557.10 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions