Life360, Inc. logo LIF - Life360, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $57.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $72.00
LOW: $32.20
MEDIAN: $62.60
CONSENSUS: $57.40
UPSIDE: 29.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 90.3% above fair value
Current Price $44.17
Bear Case $14.69 66.7% downside ($14.69 - $44.17) / $44.17 = -66.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $23.21 47.4% downside ($23.21 - $44.17) / $44.17 = -47.4% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $33.27 24.7% downside ($33.27 - $44.17) / $44.17 = -24.7% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 75.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 26.6% vs our 17.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $23.21 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $57.40
Analyst Range $32.20 – $72.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 60%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 37% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $57.40 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 60% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions