Life360, Inc. logo LIF - Life360, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.06 DETAILS
HIGH: $76.00
LOW: $32.20
MEDIAN: $66.24
CONSENSUS: $60.06
UPSIDE: 15.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 70.0% above fair value
Current Price $51.99
Bear Case $19.35 62.8% downside ($19.35 - $51.99) / $51.99 = -62.8% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $30.58 41.2% downside ($30.58 - $51.99) / $51.99 = -41.2% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $43.83 15.7% downside ($43.83 - $51.99) / $51.99 = -15.7% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 89.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 28.9% vs our 17.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $60.06 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.58 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 37% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $60.06 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions