Life360, Inc. logo LIF - Life360, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $67.70 DETAILS
HIGH: $94.00
LOW: $32.20
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $67.70
UPSIDE: 65.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 27.1% above fair value
Current Price $40.83
Bear Case $20.32 50.2% downside ($20.32 - $40.83) / $40.83 = -50.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $32.12 21.3% downside ($32.12 - $40.83) / $40.83 = -21.3% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $46.02 12.7% upside ($46.02 - $40.83) / $40.83 = 12.7% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 69.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $67.70 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $32.12 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 37% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $67.70 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 66% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions