Life360, Inc. logo LIF - Life360, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $56.23 DETAILS
HIGH: $72.00
LOW: $32.20
MEDIAN: $62.60
CONSENSUS: $56.23
UPSIDE: 29.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 87.9% above fair value
Current Price $43.37
Bear Case $14.61 66.3% downside ($14.61 - $43.37) / $43.37 = -66.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $23.08 46.8% downside ($23.08 - $43.37) / $43.37 = -46.8% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $33.08 23.7% downside ($33.08 - $43.37) / $43.37 = -23.7% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 74.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 26.4% vs our 17.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 17% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $23.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $56.23
Analyst Range $32.20 – $72.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 59%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 37% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $56.23 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 59% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions