Life360, Inc. logo LIF - Life360, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $59.03 DETAILS
HIGH: $76.00
LOW: $32.20
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $59.03
UPSIDE: 9.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 77.1% above fair value
Current Price $53.79
Bear Case $19.22 64.3% downside ($19.22 - $53.79) / $53.79 = -64.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $30.37 43.5% downside ($30.37 - $53.79) / $53.79 = -43.5% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $43.54 19.1% downside ($43.54 - $53.79) / $53.79 = -19.1% 23% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 92.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 29.4% vs our 17.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $59.03 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $30.37 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 37% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $59.03 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions