L3Harris Technologies, Inc. logo LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 6
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $352.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $367.00
LOW: $323.00
MEDIAN: $359.50
CONSENSUS: $352.25
UPSIDE: 13.33%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 8.6% above fair value
Current Price $310.82
Bear Case $199.17 35.9% downside ($199.17 - $310.82) / $310.82 = -35.9% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $286.31 7.9% downside ($286.31 - $310.82) / $310.82 = -7.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $371.65 19.6% upside ($371.65 - $310.82) / $310.82 = 19.6% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 25.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $352.25 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $286.31 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $352.25 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions