L3Harris Technologies, Inc. logo LHX - L3Harris Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $315.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $315.00
LOW: $315.00
MEDIAN: $315.00
CONSENSUS: $315.00
UPSIDE: 23.17%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.5% below fair value
Current Price $255.74
Bear Case $195.66 23.5% downside ($195.66 - $255.74) / $255.74 = -23.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $282.49 10.5% upside ($282.49 - $255.74) / $255.74 = 10.5% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $367.81 43.8% upside ($367.81 - $255.74) / $255.74 = 43.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 19.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.9% vs our 10.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $282.49 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (33 analysts) $315.00
Analyst Range $315.00 – $315.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions