Littelfuse, Inc. logo LFUS - Littelfuse, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $518.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $535.00
LOW: $500.00
MEDIAN: $520.00
CONSENSUS: $518.33
UPSIDE: 28.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.0% below fair value
Current Price $403.37
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $403.37) / $403.37 = -100.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $403.37) / $403.37 = -100.0% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $403.37) / $403.37 = -100.0% 14% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.6%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 0%

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $0.00 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $518.33
Analyst Range $500.00 – $535.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $518.33 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions