Leidos Holdings, Inc. logo LDOS - Leidos Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 18
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $200.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $215.00
LOW: $185.00
MEDIAN: $204.00
CONSENSUS: $200.80
UPSIDE: 59.35%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 30.3% below fair value
Current Price $126.01
Bear Case $140.45 11.5% upside ($140.45 - $126.01) / $126.01 = 11.5% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $180.81 43.5% upside ($180.81 - $126.01) / $126.01 = 43.5% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $217.34 72.5% upside ($217.34 - $126.01) / $126.01 = 72.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 13.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $200.80 from 27 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $180.81 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions