Laureate Education, Inc. logo LAUR - Laureate Education, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $34.50
MEDIAN: $39.75
CONSENSUS: $39.75
UPSIDE: 0.00%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 1.2% below fair value
Current Price $39.75
Bear Case $28.57 28.1% downside ($28.57 - $39.75) / $39.75 = -28.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $40.24 1.2% upside ($40.24 - $39.75) / $39.75 = 1.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $51.90 30.6% upside ($51.90 - $39.75) / $39.75 = 30.6% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 22.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.5% vs our 10.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $40.24 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $39.75
Analyst Range $34.50 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions