Laureate Education, Inc. logo LAUR - Laureate Education, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 9
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $39.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $43.00
LOW: $36.50
MEDIAN: $37.50
CONSENSUS: $39.00
DOWNSIDE: 2.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 8.8% above fair value
Current Price $39.83
Bear Case $25.27 36.5% downside ($25.27 - $39.83) / $39.83 = -36.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $36.61 8.1% downside ($36.61 - $39.83) / $39.83 = -8.1% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $47.93 20.3% upside ($47.93 - $39.83) / $39.83 = 20.3% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 24.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.9% vs our 10.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $39.00 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $36.61 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions