LAUR - Laureate Education, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$40.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$45.00
LOW:
$34.50
MEDIAN:
$43.00
CONSENSUS:
$40.83
UPSIDE:
5.23%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
21.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
10.2%
vs our 10.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $40.24 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$40.83
Analyst Range
$34.50 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
1%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions