Laureate Education, Inc. logo LAUR - Laureate Education, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $40.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $34.50
MEDIAN: $43.00
CONSENSUS: $40.83
UPSIDE: 5.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.6% below fair value
Current Price $38.80
Bear Case $28.57 26.4% downside ($28.57 - $38.80) / $38.80 = -26.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $40.24 3.7% upside ($40.24 - $38.80) / $38.80 = 3.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $51.90 33.8% upside ($51.90 - $38.80) / $38.80 = 33.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 21.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.2% vs our 10.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $40.24 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $40.83
Analyst Range $34.50 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions