LADR - Ladder Capital Corp
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$10.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$10.25
LOW:
$10.25
MEDIAN:
$10.25
CONSENSUS:
$10.25
UPSIDE:
4.49%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($0.77) × default P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
12.8x
Plain-Language Summary
At $0.77 FFO/share with a 17x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $14.12 per share. Dividend yield: 9.4%. DDM cross-check: $16.60.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$10.25
Analyst Range
$10.25 – $10.25
Divergence from AlphaVal
38%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 9.4% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $10.25 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 38% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify