KWR - Quaker Houghton
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$182.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$198.00
LOW:
$172.00
MEDIAN:
$180.00
CONSENSUS:
$182.50
UPSIDE:
10.79%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.9%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
31%
Implied Market Multiple
54.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
24.6%
vs our 5.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $10.00 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$182.50
Analyst Range
$172.00 – $198.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
95%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $182.50 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 95% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions