KWR - Quaker Chemical Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$176.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$203.00
LOW:
$157.00
MEDIAN:
$173.50
CONSENSUS:
$176.75
UPSIDE:
19.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
5.9%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
31%
Implied Market Multiple
41.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
20.7%
vs our 5.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $176.75 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.99 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $176.75 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 88% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions