Kenvue Inc. logo KVUE - Kenvue Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $19.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $18.00
CONSENSUS: $18.25
DOWNSIDE: 3.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 2.4% above fair value
Current Price $18.96
Bear Case $15.25 19.6% downside ($15.25 - $18.96) / $18.96 = -19.6% $1.09 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $18.51 2.4% downside ($18.51 - $18.96) / $18.96 = -2.4% $1.09 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $21.78 14.9% upside ($21.78 - $18.96) / $18.96 = 14.9% $1.09 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $18.25 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $18.51 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 44%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 109% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples