Kenvue Inc. logo KVUE - Kenvue Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $19.00
DOWNSIDE: 0.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 2.0% above fair value
Current Price $19.03
Bear Case $15.37 19.2% downside ($15.37 - $19.03) / $19.03 = -19.2% $1.09 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $18.66 1.9% downside ($18.66 - $19.03) / $19.03 = -1.9% $1.09 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $21.96 15.4% upside ($21.96 - $19.03) / $19.03 = 15.4% $1.09 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $19.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $18.66 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 44%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 110% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples