KVUE - Kenvue Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$19.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$19.50
CONSENSUS:
$19.50
UPSIDE:
9.70%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
0.76$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.76, the base-case value is $12.92 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$19.50
Analyst Range
$19.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
34%
Warnings
The company pays out 110% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $19.50 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples