Kenvue Inc. logo KVUE - Kenvue Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $19.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $19.50
CONSENSUS: $19.50
UPSIDE: 9.70%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 37.6% above fair value
Current Price $17.77
Bear Case $10.64 40.1% downside ($10.64 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -40.1% $0.76 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $12.92 27.3% downside ($12.92 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -27.3% $0.76 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $15.20 14.5% downside ($15.20 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -14.5% $0.76 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
0.76$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.76, the base-case value is $12.92 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $19.50
Analyst Range $19.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 110% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $19.50 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples