Kontoor Brands, Inc. logo KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $107.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $136.00
LOW: $89.00
MEDIAN: $105.00
CONSENSUS: $107.80
UPSIDE: 43.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 81.8% below fair value
Current Price $75.08
Bear Case $228.02 203.7% upside ($228.02 - $75.08) / $75.08 = 203.7% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $411.69 448.3% upside ($411.69 - $75.08) / $75.08 = 448.3% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $633.43 743.7% upside ($633.43 - $75.08) / $75.08 = 743.7% 24% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 9.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -2.0% vs our 18.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $411.69 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $107.80
Analyst Range $89.00 – $136.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 282%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $107.80 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 282% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions