Kontoor Brands, Inc. logo KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $112.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $136.00
LOW: $99.00
MEDIAN: $107.50
CONSENSUS: $112.50
UPSIDE: 68.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 83.6% below fair value
Current Price $66.62
Bear Case $225.47 238.4% upside ($225.47 - $66.62) / $66.62 = 238.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $407.08 511.0% upside ($407.08 - $66.62) / $66.62 = 511.0% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $626.34 840.2% upside ($626.34 - $66.62) / $66.62 = 840.2% 24% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 8.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.2% vs our 18.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $407.08 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $112.50
Analyst Range $99.00 – $136.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 262%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $112.50 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 262% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions