Kontoor Brands, Inc. logo KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $77.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $96.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $80.00
CONSENSUS: $77.20
UPSIDE: 10.43%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 76.5% below fair value
Current Price $69.91
Bear Case $163.95 134.5% upside ($163.95 - $69.91) / $69.91 = 134.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $297.18 325.1% upside ($297.18 - $69.91) / $69.91 = 325.1% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $458.04 555.2% upside ($458.04 - $69.91) / $69.91 = 555.2% 24% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 9.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $77.20 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $297.18 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $77.20 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 380% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions