KRG - Kite Realty Group Trust
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$29.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$32.00
LOW:
$27.00
MEDIAN:
$30.00
CONSENSUS:
$29.67
UPSIDE:
1.23%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.33) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
8.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.67 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $56.06 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $29.67 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 119% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify