AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag KNX as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for KNX is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value KNX?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from KNX's most recent reported fundamentals.

KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $65.20 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 200.8% above fair value

Current Price $70.12

Bear Case $9.31 86.7% downside ($9.31 - $70.12) / $70.12 = -86.7% $2.14 × 4x + net cash

Fair Value $23.31 66.8% downside ($23.31 - $70.12) / $70.12 = -66.8% $2.14 × 6x + net cash

Bull Case $37.32 46.8% downside ($37.32 - $70.12) / $70.12 = -46.8% $2.14 × 7x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

5.5x

Normalized EPS

2.14$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($2.14)

Implied Market Multiple 32.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $65.20 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.31 per share.

Warnings

⚠ This company has a built-in lending arm whose debt is mixed in with the main business. We capped the debt adjustment to avoid overstating what the core business owes.

⚠ Price-to-book value of 9.4x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $65.20 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 92% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing