KNTK - Kinetik Holdings Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$55.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$70.00
LOW:
$51.00
MEDIAN:
$54.00
CONSENSUS:
$55.33
UPSIDE:
1.52%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
2.63$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
20.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.63, the base-case value is $59.17 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$55.33
Analyst Range
$51.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
7%
Warnings
The company pays out 122% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples