Knowles Corporation logo KN - Knowles Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 6
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $40.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $44.00
LOW: $38.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $40.67
UPSIDE: 17.99%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 206.4% above fair value
Current Price $34.47
Bear Case $9.00 73.9% downside ($9.00 - $34.47) / $34.47 = -73.9% $0.50 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $11.25 67.4% downside ($11.25 - $34.47) / $34.47 = -67.4% $0.50 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $13.50 60.8% downside ($13.50 - $34.47) / $34.47 = -60.8% $0.50 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.5x
0.5$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 68.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.50, the base-case value is $11.25 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $40.67
Analyst Range $38.00 – $44.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 72%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $40.67 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 72% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples