Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. logo KLIC - Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $62.50
CONSENSUS: $62.50
DOWNSIDE: 29.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 255.5% above fair value
Current Price $88.54
Bear Case $18.68 78.9% downside ($18.68 - $88.54) / $88.54 = -78.9% $1.56 × 12x
Fair Value $24.91 71.9% downside ($24.91 - $88.54) / $88.54 = -71.9% $1.56 × 16x
Bull Case $31.14 64.8% downside ($31.14 - $88.54) / $88.54 = -64.8% $1.56 × 20x

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.56$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.56)

Implied Market Multiple 56.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $1.56 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $24.91 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 6.2x.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $62.50
Analyst Range $55.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 60%

Warnings

⚠ Price-to-book value of 6.2x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $62.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 60% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing