Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. logo KLIC - Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $70.00
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $70.00
DOWNSIDE: 32.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 141.8% above fair value
Current Price $104.40
Bear Case $35.05 66.4% downside ($35.05 - $104.40) / $104.40 = -66.4% $1.72 × 12x + net cash
Fair Value $43.18 58.6% downside ($43.18 - $104.40) / $104.40 = -58.6% $1.72 × 16x + net cash
Bull Case $51.30 50.9% downside ($51.30 - $104.40) / $104.40 = -50.9% $1.72 × 20x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.72$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.72)

Implied Market Multiple 60.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $70.00 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.18 per share.

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 7.3x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $70.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing