KLAC - KLA Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$225.18
DETAILS
HIGH:
$325.00
LOW:
$180.00
MEDIAN:
$225.00
CONSENSUS:
$225.18
UPSIDE:
28.28%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
19.3%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (19% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
61.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
26.0%
vs our 19.4% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $107.14 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (44 analysts)
$225.18
Analyst Range
$180.00 – $325.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
52%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $225.18 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions