KLAC - KLA Corporation
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$220.26
DETAILS
HIGH:
$325.00
LOW:
$145.00
MEDIAN:
$200.00
CONSENSUS:
$220.26
DOWNSIDE:
4.39%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
23.1%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (23% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
85.4x
Market is pricing in (growth)
30.6%
vs our 23.1% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $220.26 from 44 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $158.67 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $220.26 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions