KEEL - Keel Infrastructure Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$5.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$8.00
LOW:
$3.00
MEDIAN:
$5.00
CONSENSUS:
$5.25
DOWNSIDE:
12.94%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
32.2x
0.09$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (32x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
67.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 32x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.09, the base-case value is $2.87 per share.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples