Kimball Electronics, Inc. logo KE - Kimball Electronics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $26.00
UPSIDE: 3.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 45.5% above fair value
Current Price $25.00
Bear Case $14.48 42.1% downside ($14.48 - $25.00) / $25.00 = -42.1% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $17.19 31.3% downside ($17.19 - $25.00) / $25.00 = -31.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $19.55 21.8% downside ($19.55 - $25.00) / $25.00 = -21.8% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

5.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 21.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.2% vs our 5.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $17.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $26.00
Analyst Range $20.00 – $32.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $26.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions