Kimball Electronics, Inc. logo KE - Kimball Electronics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $26.00
UPSIDE: 5.69%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.6% below fair value
Current Price $24.60
Bear Case $67.62 174.9% upside ($67.62 - $24.60) / $24.60 = 174.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $67.62 174.9% upside ($67.62 - $24.60) / $24.60 = 174.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $72.32 194.0% upside ($72.32 - $24.60) / $24.60 = 194.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 4.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $26.00 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $67.62 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $26.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 200% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions