KBR, Inc. logo KBR - KBR, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 14
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $36.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $36.00
MEDIAN: $36.00
CONSENSUS: $36.00
UPSIDE: 1.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 70% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 0.4% below fair value
Current Price $35.47
Bear Case $28.39 20.0% downside ($28.39 - $35.47) / $35.47 = -20.0% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $35.60 0.4% upside ($35.60 - $35.47) / $35.47 = 0.4% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $42.01 18.4% upside ($42.01 - $35.47) / $35.47 = 18.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 14.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 4.9% vs our 4.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $36.00 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $35.60 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions