KBR - KBR, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$41.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$41.00
LOW:
$41.00
MEDIAN:
$41.00
CONSENSUS:
$41.00
UPSIDE:
8.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
70% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
6.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (6% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
12.3x
Market is pricing in (growth)
2.4%
vs our 6.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $56.51 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$41.00
Analyst Range
$41.00 – $41.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
38%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $41.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 38% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions