AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Coffee Holding Co., Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag JVA as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Coffee Holding Co., Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for JVA is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value JVA?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from JVA's most recent reported fundamentals.

JVA - Coffee Holding Co., Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $9.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild

Trading 2.9% below fair value

Current Price $4.22

Bear Case $3.58 15.1% downside ($3.58 - $4.22) / $4.22 = -15.1% $0.26 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $4.35 3.0% upside ($4.35 - $4.22) / $4.22 = 3.0% $0.26 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $5.12 21.2% upside ($5.12 - $4.22) / $4.22 = 21.2% $0.26 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.0x

Adjusted EPS

0.26$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.26, the base-case value is $4.35 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 96% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples