JLL - Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$450.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$500.00
LOW:
$401.00
MEDIAN:
$450.50
CONSENSUS:
$450.50
UPSIDE:
24.34%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
75% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.1x
16.4$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $16.40, the base-case value is $264.44 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$450.50
Analyst Range
$401.00 – $500.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
41%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $450.50 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples