AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes J&J Snack Foods Corp.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag JJSF as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is J&J Snack Foods Corp.'s fair value?

Fair value for JJSF is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value JJSF?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from JJSF's most recent reported fundamentals.

JJSF - J&J Snack Foods Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild

Trading 7.3% above fair value

Current Price $78.29

Bear Case $60.08 23.3% downside ($60.08 - $78.29) / $78.29 = -23.3% $4.06 × 15x P/E

Fair Value $72.96 6.8% downside ($72.96 - $78.29) / $78.29 = -6.8% $4.06 × 18x P/E

Bull Case $85.83 9.6% upside ($85.83 - $78.29) / $78.29 = 9.6% $4.06 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

18.0x

Adjusted EPS

4.06$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.06, the base-case value is $72.96 per share. DDM cross-check: $104.60.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 95% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $104.60 (above our primary estimate by 43%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples