Jbs N.V. logo JBS - Jbs N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $17.50
CONSENSUS: $18.17
UPSIDE: 47.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 68.6% below fair value
Current Price $12.32
Bear Case $32.36 162.5% upside ($32.36 - $12.32) / $12.32 = 162.5% $1.95 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $39.29 218.8% upside ($39.29 - $12.32) / $12.32 = 218.8% $1.95 × 20x P/E
Bull Case $46.22 275.0% upside ($46.22 - $12.32) / $12.32 = 275.0% $1.95 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.2x
1.95$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.95, the base-case value is $39.29 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 115% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from BRL into USD using USDBRL at 0.1869 USD per BRL.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples