JBS N.V. logo JBS - JBS N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.88 DETAILS
HIGH: $23.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $17.75
CONSENSUS: $18.88
UPSIDE: 42.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 69.6% below fair value
Current Price $13.21
Bear Case $35.78 170.9% upside ($35.78 - $13.21) / $13.21 = 170.9% $2.15 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $43.45 228.9% upside ($43.45 - $13.21) / $13.21 = 228.9% $2.15 × 20x P/E
Bull Case $51.12 287.0% upside ($51.12 - $13.21) / $13.21 = 287.0% $2.15 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.2x
2.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.15, the base-case value is $43.45 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 114% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Financial statements were converted from BRL into USD using USDBRL at 0.1993 USD per BRL.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples