Jbs N.V. logo JBS - Jbs N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $17.50
CONSENSUS: $18.17
UPSIDE: 45.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 69.6% below fair value
Current Price $12.47
Bear Case $33.78 170.8% upside ($33.78 - $12.47) / $12.47 = 170.8% $2.03 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $41.02 228.8% upside ($41.02 - $12.47) / $12.47 = 228.8% $2.03 × 20x P/E
Bull Case $48.25 286.8% upside ($48.25 - $12.47) / $12.47 = 286.8% $2.03 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

20.2x
2.03$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.03, the base-case value is $41.02 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 110% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Financial statements were converted from BRL into USD using USDBRL at 0.1951 USD per BRL.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples