JBFCF - Jollibee Foods Corporation
Price:
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AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
0.15$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.15, the base-case value is $2.52 per share. DDM cross-check: $1.76.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $1.76 (below our primary estimate by 30%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Financial statements were converted from PHP into USD using USDPHP at 0.0157 USD per PHP.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples