AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Jacobs Solutions Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag J as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Jacobs Solutions Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for J is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value J?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from J's most recent reported fundamentals.

J - Jacobs Solutions Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $156.13 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 24.6% above fair value

Current Price $125.61

Bear Case $74.81 40.4% downside ($74.81 - $125.61) / $125.61 = -40.4% $4.98 × 14x + net cash

Fair Value $100.84 19.7% downside ($100.84 - $125.61) / $125.61 = -19.7% $4.98 × 18x + net cash

Bull Case $126.88 1.0% upside ($126.88 - $125.61) / $125.61 = 1.0% $4.98 × 22x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

18.0x

Normalized EPS

4.98$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($4.98)

Implied Market Multiple 25.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $156.13 from 38 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $100.84 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $156.13 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing