IVT - InvenTrust Properties Corp.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$38.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$39.00
LOW:
$37.00
MEDIAN:
$38.00
CONSENSUS:
$38.00
UPSIDE:
16.42%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.5x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.08) × retail P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
10.6x
Plain-Language Summary
At $3.08 FFO/share with a 15x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $169.15 per share. Dividend yield: 3.0%. DDM cross-check: $452.72.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$38.00
Analyst Range
$37.00 – $39.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
345%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $452.72 (168% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $38.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 345% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify