InvenTrust Properties Corp. logo IVT - InvenTrust Properties Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $38.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $39.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $38.00
CONSENSUS: $38.00
UPSIDE: 16.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 80.7% below fair value
Current Price $32.64
Bear Case $142.11 335.4% upside ($142.11 - $32.64) / $32.64 = 335.4% $3.08 FFO × 12x
Fair Value $169.15 418.2% upside ($169.15 - $32.64) / $32.64 = 418.2% $3.08 FFO × 15x
Bull Case $196.19 501.1% upside ($196.19 - $32.64) / $32.64 = 501.1% $3.08 FFO × 19x

Adjust Assumptions

15.5x
3.08$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($3.08) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 10.6x

Plain-Language Summary

At $3.08 FFO/share with a 15x retail REIT multiple, the base-case value is $169.15 per share. Dividend yield: 3.0%. DDM cross-check: $452.72.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $38.00
Analyst Range $37.00 – $39.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 345%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $452.72 (168% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $38.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 345% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify