ITT - ITT Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$241.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$255.00
LOW:
$229.00
MEDIAN:
$246.00
CONSENSUS:
$241.29
UPSIDE:
23.74%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
24.6%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (25% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
49%
Implied Market Multiple
31.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.2%
vs our 24.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $241.29 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $350.17 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $241.29 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 60% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions