IRM - Iron Mountain Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$146.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$155.00
LOW:
$140.00
MEDIAN:
$143.00
CONSENSUS:
$146.00
UPSIDE:
24.94%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
30.7x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.93) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
29.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $3.93 FFO/share with a 31x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $188.12 per share. Dividend yield: 3.0%. DDM cross-check: $345.81.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (21 analysts)
$146.00
Analyst Range
$140.00 – $155.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
29%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $345.81 (84% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $146.00 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify