Iron Mountain Incorporated logo IRM - Iron Mountain Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 2
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $132.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $140.00
LOW: $127.00
MEDIAN: $130.00
CONSENSUS: $132.33
UPSIDE: 2.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 13.0% below fair value
Current Price $128.84
Bear Case $123.05 4.5% downside ($123.05 - $128.84) / $128.84 = -4.5% $3.93 FFO × 25x
Fair Value $148.14 15.0% upside ($148.14 - $128.84) / $128.84 = 15.0% $3.93 FFO × 31x
Bull Case $173.23 34.5% upside ($173.23 - $128.84) / $128.84 = 34.5% $3.93 FFO × 36x

Adjust Assumptions

30.7x
3.93$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($3.93) × specialty P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 32.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $132.33 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $148.14 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $230.11 (50% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify