IRM - Iron Mountain Incorporated
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$142.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$155.00
LOW:
$132.00
MEDIAN:
$142.00
CONSENSUS:
$142.75
UPSIDE:
24.43%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
30.7x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($4.04) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
28.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $4.04 FFO/share with a 31x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $190.43 per share. Dividend yield: 3.0%. DDM cross-check: $345.81.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (21 analysts)
$142.75
Analyst Range
$132.00 – $155.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
33%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $345.81 (82% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $142.75 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 33% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify