IRM - Iron Mountain Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$132.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$140.00
LOW:
$127.00
MEDIAN:
$130.00
CONSENSUS:
$132.33
UPSIDE:
2.71%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
30.7x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.93) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
32.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $132.33 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $148.14 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $230.11 (50% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify