IR - Ingersoll Rand Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$90.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$103.00
LOW:
$84.00
MEDIAN:
$87.00
CONSENSUS:
$90.60
UPSIDE:
13.26%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
8.8%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (9% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
38%
Implied Market Multiple
24.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
11.9%
vs our 8.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $61.83 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$90.60
Analyst Range
$84.00 – $103.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $90.60 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 32% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions