IQVIA Holdings Inc. logo IQV - IQVIA Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 35
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $219.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $250.00
LOW: $185.00
MEDIAN: $215.00
CONSENSUS: $219.44
UPSIDE: 30.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.9% below fair value
Current Price $167.77
Bear Case $139.59 16.8% downside ($139.59 - $167.77) / $167.77 = -16.8% $10.35 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $174.49 4.0% upside ($174.49 - $167.77) / $167.77 = 4.0% $10.35 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $209.38 24.8% upside ($209.38 - $167.77) / $167.77 = 24.8% $10.35 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
10.35$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $219.44 from 44 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $174.49 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 32%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $219.44 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 29% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples