IQVIA Holdings Inc. logo IQV - IQVIA Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 36
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $246.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $287.00
LOW: $185.00
MEDIAN: $243.50
CONSENSUS: $246.13
DOWNSIDE: 7.62%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 126.5% above fair value
Current Price $266.42
Bear Case $94.08 64.7% downside ($94.08 - $266.42) / $266.42 = -64.7% $7.84 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $117.60 55.9% downside ($117.60 - $266.42) / $266.42 = -55.9% $7.84 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $141.12 47.0% downside ($141.12 - $266.42) / $266.42 = -47.0% $7.84 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.84$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 34.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.84, the base-case value is $117.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (45 analysts) $246.13
Analyst Range $185.00 – $287.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 52%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $246.13 (from 45 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples