Inter Parfums, Inc. logo IPAR - Inter Parfums, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $136.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $151.00
LOW: $120.00
MEDIAN: $137.50
CONSENSUS: $136.50
UPSIDE: 22.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.8% below fair value
Current Price $111.66
Bear Case $103.30 7.5% downside ($103.30 - $111.66) / $111.66 = -7.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $141.03 26.3% upside ($141.03 - $111.66) / $111.66 = 26.3% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $178.72 60.1% upside ($178.72 - $111.66) / $111.66 = 60.1% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 17.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.5% vs our 10.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $141.03 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $136.50
Analyst Range $120.00 – $151.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions