Inter Parfums, Inc. logo IPAR - Inter Parfums, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $141.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $141.00
LOW: $141.00
MEDIAN: $141.00
CONSENSUS: $141.00
UPSIDE: 15.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.7% below fair value
Current Price $122.55
Bear Case $106.48 13.1% downside ($106.48 - $122.55) / $122.55 = -13.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $154.47 26.0% upside ($154.47 - $122.55) / $122.55 = 26.0% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $204.94 67.2% upside ($204.94 - $122.55) / $122.55 = 67.2% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 20.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.1% vs our 12.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $141.00 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $154.47 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions