Inter Parfums, Inc. logo IPAR - Inter Parfums, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $112.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $112.00
LOW: $112.00
MEDIAN: $112.00
CONSENSUS: $112.00
UPSIDE: 21.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.9% below fair value
Current Price $92.53
Bear Case $97.58 5.5% upside ($97.58 - $92.53) / $92.53 = 5.5% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $135.84 46.8% upside ($135.84 - $92.53) / $92.53 = 46.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $174.71 88.8% upside ($174.71 - $92.53) / $92.53 = 88.8% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 15.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $112.00 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $135.84 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $112.00 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 28% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions