Inter Parfums, Inc. logo IPAR - Inter Parfums, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $129.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $163.00
LOW: $103.00
MEDIAN: $125.00
CONSENSUS: $129.00
UPSIDE: 4.68%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.6% below fair value
Current Price $123.23
Bear Case $104.41 15.3% downside ($104.41 - $123.23) / $123.23 = -15.3% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $151.47 22.9% upside ($151.47 - $123.23) / $123.23 = 22.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $200.96 63.1% upside ($200.96 - $123.23) / $123.23 = 63.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 20.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.2% vs our 12.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $129.00 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $151.47 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions