International Seaways, Inc. logo INSW - International Seaways, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $80.00
CONSENSUS: $86.67
UPSIDE: 3.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.3% below fair value
Current Price $83.52
Bear Case $73.68 11.8% downside ($73.68 - $83.52) / $83.52 = -11.8% $6.23 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $92.09 10.3% upside ($92.09 - $83.52) / $83.52 = 10.3% $6.23 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $110.51 32.3% upside ($110.51 - $83.52) / $83.52 = 32.3% $6.23 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
6.23$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.67 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $92.09 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 172% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples