International Seaways, Inc. logo INSW - International Seaways, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $93.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $100.00
CONSENSUS: $93.33
DOWNSIDE: 5.55%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 37.8% below fair value
Current Price $98.81
Bear Case $98.76 0.0% upside ($98.76 - $98.81) / $98.81 = -0.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $158.89 60.8% upside ($158.89 - $98.81) / $98.81 = 60.8% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $225.66 128.4% upside ($225.66 - $98.81) / $98.81 = 128.4% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 19.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.9% vs our 14.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $158.89 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $93.33
Analyst Range $80.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 70%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $93.33 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 70% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions