Inspired Entertainment, Inc. logo INSE - Inspired Entertainment, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $21.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $18.75
UPSIDE: 166.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 60.0% below fair value
Current Price $7.04
Bear Case $10.50 49.2% upside ($10.50 - $7.04) / $7.04 = 49.2% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $17.61 150.1% upside ($17.61 - $7.04) / $7.04 = 150.1% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $24.43 247.0% upside ($24.43 - $7.04) / $7.04 = 247.0% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 13.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $18.75 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $17.61 per share.

Warnings

This company spends 15% of revenue on big investments like data centers and infrastructure, mostly for growth. We adjusted the cash flow figure to only subtract the upkeep costs, giving a clearer picture of true profitability.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions