INFA - Informatica Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$26.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$44.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$25.00
CONSENSUS:
$26.67
UPSIDE:
7.58%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
50% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.07$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
378.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $26.67 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $6.46 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 107%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $26.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 95% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples