Informatica Inc. logo INFA - Informatica Inc.

Inactive Ticker INFA is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 13
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $44.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $26.67
UPSIDE: 7.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 283.6% above fair value
Current Price $24.79
Bear Case $5.41 78.2% downside ($5.41 - $24.79) / $24.79 = -78.2% $0.07 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $6.46 73.9% downside ($6.46 - $24.79) / $24.79 = -73.9% $0.07 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $7.52 69.7% downside ($7.52 - $24.79) / $24.79 = -69.7% $0.07 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
0.07$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 378.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $26.67 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $6.46 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 107%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $26.67 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 95% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples