Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc logo INDV - Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $48.00
CONSENSUS: $48.00
UPSIDE: 18.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 36.2% above fair value
Current Price $40.50
Bear Case $25.48 37.1% downside ($25.48 - $40.50) / $40.50 = -37.1% $1.64 × 16x P/E
Fair Value $29.73 26.6% downside ($29.73 - $40.50) / $40.50 = -26.6% $1.64 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $33.98 16.1% downside ($33.98 - $40.50) / $40.50 = -16.1% $1.64 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.1x
1.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.64, the base-case value is $29.73 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples