Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc logo INDV - Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $53.00
LOW: $43.00
MEDIAN: $48.00
CONSENSUS: $48.00
UPSIDE: 37.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 37.3% above fair value
Current Price $34.85
Bear Case $21.76 37.6% downside ($21.76 - $34.85) / $34.85 = -37.6% $1.64 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $25.39 27.2% downside ($25.39 - $34.85) / $34.85 = -27.2% $1.64 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $29.01 16.7% downside ($29.01 - $34.85) / $34.85 = -16.7% $1.64 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.5x
1.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.64, the base-case value is $25.39 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples