Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc logo INDV - Indivior Pharmaceuticals Inc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $44.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $36.00
MEDIAN: $48.00
CONSENSUS: $44.67
UPSIDE: 19.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 26.2% above fair value
Current Price $37.53
Bear Case $25.48 32.1% downside ($25.48 - $37.53) / $37.53 = -32.1% $1.64 × 16x P/E
Fair Value $29.73 20.8% downside ($29.73 - $37.53) / $37.53 = -20.8% $1.64 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $33.98 9.5% downside ($33.98 - $37.53) / $37.53 = -9.5% $1.64 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.1x
1.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.64, the base-case value is $29.73 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples