International Money Express, Inc. logo IMXI - International Money Express, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $27.00
UPSIDE: 101.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.5% above fair value
Current Price $13.42
Bear Case $6.13 54.3% downside ($6.13 - $13.42) / $13.42 = -54.3% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $9.69 27.8% downside ($9.69 - $13.42) / $13.42 = -27.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $13.30 0.9% downside ($13.30 - $13.42) / $13.42 = -0.9% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 51.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 21.4% vs our 11.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.00 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.69 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.00 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 80% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions