International Money Express, Inc. logo IMXI - International Money Express, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $27.00
UPSIDE: 87.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 22.2% above fair value
Current Price $14.42
Bear Case $8.00 44.5% downside ($8.00 - $14.42) / $14.42 = -44.5% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $11.80 18.2% downside ($11.80 - $14.42) / $14.42 = -18.2% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $15.65 8.6% upside ($15.65 - $14.42) / $14.42 = 8.6% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (11% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 28.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.6% vs our 11.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 11% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $11.80 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $27.00
Analyst Range $25.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 56%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.00 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions