IMAX Corporation logo IMAX - IMAX Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $51.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $50.00
CONSENSUS: $51.00
DOWNSIDE: 1.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 1.8% below fair value
Current Price $51.64
Bear Case $33.67 34.8% downside ($33.67 - $51.64) / $51.64 = -34.8% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $52.59 1.8% upside ($52.59 - $51.64) / $51.64 = 1.8% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $73.16 41.7% upside ($73.16 - $51.64) / $51.64 = 41.7% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 28.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 13.8% vs our 14.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $52.59 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $51.00
Analyst Range $41.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 77% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions