IMAX Corporation logo IMAX - IMAX Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $47.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $46.00
CONSENSUS: $47.33
UPSIDE: 20.99%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 8.4% below fair value
Current Price $39.12
Bear Case $29.41 24.8% downside ($29.41 - $39.12) / $39.12 = -24.8% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $42.72 9.2% upside ($42.72 - $39.12) / $39.12 = 9.2% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $56.35 44.1% upside ($56.35 - $39.12) / $39.12 = 44.1% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 23.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $47.33 from 25 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $42.72 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 77% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions