IIPR - Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$56.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$56.25
LOW:
$56.25
MEDIAN:
$56.25
CONSENSUS:
$56.25
UPSIDE:
7.37%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
28.6x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($6.84) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
7.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $6.84 FFO/share with a 29x industrial REIT multiple, the base-case value is $177.42 per share. Dividend yield: 14.5%. DDM cross-check: $135.13.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$56.25
Analyst Range
$56.25 – $56.25
Divergence from AlphaVal
215%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 14.5% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $56.25 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 215% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify