International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. logo IFF - International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 25
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $95.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $91.00
MEDIAN: $95.00
CONSENSUS: $95.00
UPSIDE: 10.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 15.0% above fair value
Current Price $85.78
Bear Case $36.25 57.7% downside ($36.25 - $85.78) / $85.78 = -57.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $74.61 13.0% downside ($74.61 - $85.78) / $85.78 = -13.0% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $118.89 38.6% upside ($118.89 - $85.78) / $85.78 = 38.6% 21% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 44%
Implied Market Multiple 39.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 17.9% vs our 16.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $74.61 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (34 analysts) $95.00
Analyst Range $91.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 21%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions