IES Holdings, Inc. logo IESC - IES Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 0
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $458.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $458.00
LOW: $458.00
MEDIAN: $458.00
CONSENSUS: $458.00
DOWNSIDE: 34.00%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 47.1% above fair value
Current Price $693.94
Bear Case $250.64 63.9% downside ($250.64 - $693.94) / $693.94 = -63.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $471.64 32.0% downside ($471.64 - $693.94) / $693.94 = -32.0% 22% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $758.63 9.3% upside ($758.63 - $693.94) / $693.94 = 9.3% 28% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

21.7%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (22% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 65.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 22% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $471.64 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions