IDACORP, Inc. logo IDA - IDACORP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $155.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $162.00
LOW: $143.00
MEDIAN: $157.00
CONSENSUS: $155.20
UPSIDE: 13.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 45.0% above fair value
Current Price $136.84
Bear Case $82.60 39.6% downside ($82.60 - $136.84) / $136.84 = -39.6% $5.90 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $94.40 31.0% downside ($94.40 - $136.84) / $136.84 = -31.0% $5.90 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $106.20 22.4% downside ($106.20 - $136.84) / $136.84 = -22.4% $5.90 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.90, the base-case value is $94.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $74.36.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $155.20
Analyst Range $143.00 – $162.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 39%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $74.36 (below our primary estimate by 21%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $155.20 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples