IDACORP, Inc. logo IDA - IDACORP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $148.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $167.00
LOW: $121.00
MEDIAN: $152.00
CONSENSUS: $148.86
UPSIDE: 4.83%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 34.9% above fair value
Current Price $142.00
Bear Case $92.13 35.1% downside ($92.13 - $142.00) / $142.00 = -35.1% $5.90 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $105.29 25.9% downside ($105.29 - $142.00) / $142.00 = -25.9% $5.90 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $118.45 16.6% downside ($118.45 - $142.00) / $142.00 = -16.6% $5.90 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $148.86 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $105.29 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $148.86 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples