IDACORP, Inc. logo IDA - IDACORP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $156.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $162.00
LOW: $151.00
MEDIAN: $157.00
CONSENSUS: $156.80
UPSIDE: 15.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 44.2% above fair value
Current Price $136.12
Bear Case $82.60 39.3% downside ($82.60 - $136.12) / $136.12 = -39.3% $5.90 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $94.40 30.6% downside ($94.40 - $136.12) / $136.12 = -30.6% $5.90 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $106.20 22.0% downside ($106.20 - $136.12) / $136.12 = -22.0% $5.90 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.90, the base-case value is $94.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $76.49.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $156.80
Analyst Range $151.00 – $162.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 40%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $156.80 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples