IDACORP, Inc. logo IDA - IDACORP, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 3
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $149.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $167.00
LOW: $121.00
MEDIAN: $154.00
CONSENSUS: $149.17
UPSIDE: 1.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 39.6% above fair value
Current Price $147.03
Bear Case $92.18 37.3% downside ($92.18 - $147.03) / $147.03 = -37.3% $5.90 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $105.35 28.3% downside ($105.35 - $147.03) / $147.03 = -28.3% $5.90 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $118.52 19.4% downside ($118.52 - $147.03) / $147.03 = -19.4% $5.90 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
5.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 24.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $149.17 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $105.35 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $149.17 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples