IDA - IDACORP, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$156.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$162.00
LOW:
$151.00
MEDIAN:
$157.00
CONSENSUS:
$156.80
UPSIDE:
15.19%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
5.9$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.90, the base-case value is $94.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $76.49.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$156.80
Analyst Range
$151.00 – $162.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
40%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $156.80 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples