IDA - IDACORP, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$148.86
DETAILS
HIGH:
$167.00
LOW:
$121.00
MEDIAN:
$152.00
CONSENSUS:
$148.86
UPSIDE:
4.83%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
5.9$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
24.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $148.86 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $105.29 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $148.86 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 37% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples