International Bancshares Corporation logo IBOC - International Bancshares Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $85.00
UPSIDE: 25.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.8% below fair value
Current Price $67.65
Bear Case $74.19 9.7% upside ($74.19 - $67.65) / $67.65 = 9.7% ROTCE 10.4% → 1.55x TBV
Fair Value $114.34 69.0% upside ($114.34 - $67.65) / $67.65 = 69.0% ROTCE 13.9% → 2.39x TBV
Bull Case $138.42 104.6% upside ($138.42 - $67.65) / $67.65 = 104.6% ROTCE 16.0% → 2.90x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

13.9%
8.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (13.9%) vs. cost of equity (8.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.42x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 13.9% vs. 8.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.39x on $47.74 tangible book, implying $114.34 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly