Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation logo IART - Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 10
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $12.00
CONSENSUS: $12.00
DOWNSIDE: 19.38%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 28.0% below fair value
Current Price $14.88
Bear Case $16.53 11.1% upside ($16.53 - $14.88) / $14.88 = 11.1% $1.57 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $20.66 38.8% upside ($20.66 - $14.88) / $14.88 = 38.8% $1.57 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $24.80 66.6% upside ($24.80 - $14.88) / $14.88 = 66.6% $1.57 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.57$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.00 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $20.66 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.00 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 96% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples