HVT - Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$42.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$42.00
LOW:
$42.00
MEDIAN:
$42.00
CONSENSUS:
$42.00
UPSIDE:
53.51%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.36$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
8.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.36, the base-case value is $53.76 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$42.00
Analyst Range
$42.00 – $42.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
28%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 182%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 111% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $42.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 28% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples