Huron Consulting Group Inc. logo HURN - Huron Consulting Group Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $176.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $213.00
LOW: $155.00
MEDIAN: $160.00
CONSENSUS: $176.00
UPSIDE: 11.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.6% below fair value
Current Price $157.31
Bear Case $129.61 17.6% downside ($129.61 - $157.31) / $157.31 = -17.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $174.09 10.7% upside ($174.09 - $157.31) / $157.31 = 10.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $215.75 37.1% upside ($215.75 - $157.31) / $157.31 = 37.1% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 17.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.1% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $174.09 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $176.00
Analyst Range $155.00 – $213.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 44% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions