Huron Consulting Group Inc. logo HURN - Huron Consulting Group Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $157.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $160.00
LOW: $155.00
MEDIAN: $157.50
CONSENSUS: $157.50
UPSIDE: 74.07%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 36.9% below fair value
Current Price $90.48
Bear Case $105.51 16.6% upside ($105.51 - $90.48) / $90.48 = 16.6% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $143.44 58.5% upside ($143.44 - $90.48) / $90.48 = 58.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $178.97 97.8% upside ($178.97 - $90.48) / $90.48 = 97.8% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 13.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.6% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $157.50 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $143.44 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 44% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions