Huron Consulting Group Inc. logo HURN - Huron Consulting Group Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $176.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $213.00
LOW: $155.00
MEDIAN: $160.00
CONSENSUS: $176.00
UPSIDE: 17.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.6% above fair value
Current Price $150.10
Bear Case $109.79 26.9% downside ($109.79 - $150.10) / $150.10 = -26.9% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $149.26 0.6% downside ($149.26 - $150.10) / $150.10 = -0.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $186.23 24.1% upside ($186.23 - $150.10) / $150.10 = 24.1% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 19.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.8% vs our 8.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $176.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $149.26 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 44% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions