Huntsman Corporation logo HUN - Huntsman Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 17
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $11.50
CONSENSUS: $12.00
UPSIDE: 26.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 35.7% below fair value
Current Price $9.47
Bear Case $11.78 24.4% upside ($11.78 - $9.47) / $9.47 = 24.4% $0.98 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $14.73 55.5% upside ($14.73 - $9.47) / $9.47 = 55.5% $0.98 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $17.68 86.7% upside ($17.68 - $9.47) / $9.47 = 86.7% $0.98 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.98$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.98, the base-case value is $14.73 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (33 analysts) $12.00
Analyst Range $10.00 – $16.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 23%

Warnings

This stock is 41% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples