Huntsman Corporation logo HUN - Huntsman Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 16
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $12.80
DOWNSIDE: 11.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.7% below fair value
Current Price $14.51
Bear Case $18.93 30.5% upside ($18.93 - $14.51) / $14.51 = 30.5% $1.89 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $23.66 63.1% upside ($23.66 - $14.51) / $14.51 = 63.1% $1.89 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $28.39 95.7% upside ($28.39 - $14.51) / $14.51 = 95.7% $1.89 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.89$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $12.80 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.66 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.80 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 121% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples