Huntsman Corporation logo HUN - Huntsman Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 17
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $13.75
UPSIDE: 15.94%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 50.5% below fair value
Current Price $11.86
Bear Case $19.16 61.6% upside ($19.16 - $11.86) / $11.86 = 61.6% $1.89 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $23.95 101.9% upside ($23.95 - $11.86) / $11.86 = 101.9% $1.89 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $28.74 142.3% upside ($28.74 - $11.86) / $11.86 = 142.3% $1.89 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.89$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.75 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.95 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $13.75 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 106% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples