Huntsman Corporation logo HUN - Huntsman Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 17
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.60
UPSIDE: 22.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.4% below fair value
Current Price $11.13
Bear Case $19.13 71.8% upside ($19.13 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 71.8% $1.89 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $23.90 114.8% upside ($23.90 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 114.8% $1.89 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $28.68 157.7% upside ($28.68 - $11.13) / $11.13 = 157.7% $1.89 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.89$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.60 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.90 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $13.60 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 108% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples