Huntsman Corporation logo HUN - Huntsman Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 17
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $11.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $11.00
CONSENSUS: $11.00
UPSIDE: 28.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.9% below fair value
Current Price $8.56
Bear Case $11.78 37.7% upside ($11.78 - $8.56) / $8.56 = 37.7% $0.98 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $14.73 72.1% upside ($14.73 - $8.56) / $8.56 = 72.1% $0.98 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $17.68 106.5% upside ($17.68 - $8.56) / $8.56 = 106.5% $0.98 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.98$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.98, the base-case value is $14.73 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (33 analysts) $11.00
Analyst Range $9.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $11.00 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 34% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
⚠ This stock is 47% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples