Hubbell Incorporated logo HUBB - Hubbell Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $546.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $600.00
LOW: $503.00
MEDIAN: $550.00
CONSENSUS: $546.60
UPSIDE: 18.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 4.5% above fair value
Current Price $459.66
Bear Case $279.93 39.1% downside ($279.93 - $459.66) / $459.66 = -39.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $439.73 4.3% downside ($439.73 - $459.66) / $459.66 = -4.3% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $611.44 33.0% upside ($611.44 - $459.66) / $459.66 = 33.0% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 29.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 14.1% vs our 13.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $439.73 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $546.60
Analyst Range $503.00 – $600.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 20%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions