Hubbell Incorporated logo HUBB - Hubbell Incorporated

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $545.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $600.00
LOW: $450.00
MEDIAN: $565.00
CONSENSUS: $545.43
UPSIDE: 14.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 6.6% above fair value
Current Price $475.01
Bear Case $282.85 40.5% downside ($282.85 - $475.01) / $475.01 = -40.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $445.70 6.2% downside ($445.70 - $475.01) / $475.01 = -6.2% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $620.70 30.7% upside ($620.70 - $475.01) / $475.01 = 30.7% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 32.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $545.43 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $445.70 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions