AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes H World Group Limited's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag HTHT as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is H World Group Limited's fair value?

Fair value for HTHT is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value HTHT?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from HTHT's most recent reported fundamentals.

HTHT - H World Group Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $62.40 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 52.5% below fair value

Current Price $41.22

Bear Case $53.43 29.6% upside ($53.43 - $41.22) / $41.22 = 29.6% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $86.74 110.5% upside ($86.74 - $41.22) / $41.22 = 110.5% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $123.20 198.9% upside ($123.20 - $41.22) / $41.22 = 198.9% 19% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

14.3%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%

Implied Market Multiple 14.5x

Market is pricing in (growth) 4.6% vs our 14.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $62.40 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $86.74 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $62.40 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 52% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1478 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions